Political Strategy .us Political Strategy .us "If a free society will not help the many who are poor, it cannot save the few who are  rich." - John F. Kennedy
Primer | Links | Resources | Newsletter | About Us
Suggest Strategy | Provide Ammo | Home
 
Features
Art of Political War Sun Tzu Files Art of Political War
Articles

We've Moved!!!

Check out the NEW

and IMPROVED:

PoliticalStrategy.org

Political Strategy - Tactics Tactics
Political Strategy - Ammunition Ammunition
Political Strategy - Articles Archive Drudge This!
Political Strategy - Articles Archive Articles Archive
Political Strategy - Policy Archive Policy Archive
Political Strategy - Weblog Archive Weblog Archive
Political Strategy - Conversations with Conservatives Cons With Cons
Political Strategy - Site Search Search This Site


An Evolution has begun. Politicalstrategy.org has officially closed down. Look for DailyNewsOnline.com to rise from the ashes, a powerful new site you won't want to miss. Click here to find out more! Click here to join the mailing list and be notified when the DailyNewsOnline is launched!


Click here to give Bush the boot!

Click on Sam!

Eagle Attack
Latest Polls:

Bush Approval
2004 President
Governor 2003
Governor 2004
Senate 2004
House 2004
General Opinion

and indicate whether the poll numbers are up or down from the previous poll. Incumbents are in italics. (prior results in '()')

Bush Approval

CBS News 9/28 - 01
Approve: 51% (52%)
Disapprove: 42% (39%)

ABC/WP 9/30
Approve: 54% (58%)
Disapprove: 44% (40%)

Newsweek 9/25 - 26
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 40%

Zogby 9/22 - 24
Approve: 50%
Disapprove: 49%

NBC/WSJ 9/20 - 22
Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 45%

Gallup 9/19 - 21
Approve: 50%
Disapprove: 47%

Newsweek 9/18 - 19
Approve: 51%
Disapprove: 42%

Ipsos-Reid 9/16 - 18
Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 43%

CBS News 9/15 - 16
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 39%

House GOP Internal 9/2003
Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 46%

ABC/WP 9/10 - 13
Approve: 58%
Disapprove: 40%

Newsweek 9/11 - 12
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 39%



President 2004

Newsweek 9/25 - 26

Democratic Primary
Wesley Clark: 16% (14%)
Howard Dean: 12% (12%)
John Kerry: 10% (10%)
Dick Gephardt: 10% (8%)
Joe Lieberman: 9% (12%)
John Edwards: 6% (6%)
Al Sharpton: 4% (7%)
Bob Graham: 2% (4%)
Moseley Braun: 2% (2%)
Dennis Kucinich: 2% (2%)
Not sure: 20% (19%)

* * * * *

Zogby 9/22 - 24

Democratic Primary
Wesley Clark: 12% (3%)
Howard Dean: 12% (16%)
John Kerry: 7% (13%)
Dick Gephardt: 6% (8%)
Joe Lieberman: 5% (12%)
Al Sharpton: 4% (2%)
Moseley Braun: 4% (2%)
John Edwards: 2% (3%)
Dennis Kucinich: 1% (1%)
Bob Graham: 1% (0%)
Other: 3% (3%)
Not sure: 43% (38%)

* * * * *

NBC/WSJ 9/20 - 22

Democratic Primary
Howard Dean: 17% (12%)
Wesley Clark: 16% (na)
Joe Lieberman: 16% (25%)
John Kerry: 11% (14%)
Richard Gephardt: 8% (11%)
John Edwards: 4% (4%)
Al Sharpton: 3% (3%)
Bob Graham: 2% (4%)
Dennis Kucinich: 2% (2%)
Moseley Braun: 1% (5%)
None: 4% (6%)
Other: 1% (1%)
Not sure: 14% (21%)

* * * * *

Newsweek 9/25 - 26

Bush Reelect
Yes 46% (44%)
No 47% (50%)
Not Sure 7% (6%)

* * * * *

Zogby 9/22 - 24

Bush Reelect
Yes 43% (40%)
Someone new 49% (52%)
Not Sure 8% (8%)

* * * * *

CBS/NYT9/28 - 01

Bush vs Dem
Bush 44%
Democrat 44%
Other, etc. 12%

* * * * *

Zogby 9/22 - 24

Bush vs Dem
Bush 41% (39%)
Democrat 45% (47%)
Not sure 12% (11%)



Governor 2003

Kentucky
Open

Bannon Communications 5/11 - 12

Dem Primary Trial Heat:
Chandler/Owen ~ 25%
Richards/Miller ~ 16%
Lunsford/Edelman ~ 15%
Undecided ~ 44%

Bluegrass Poll 5/6 - 11

Dem Primary Trial Heat:
Chandler/Owen ~ 31%
Lunsford/Edelman ~ 19%
Richards/Miller ~ 14
Hensley Jr./Robbins ~ 1 (unch)
Other ~ 2%
Undecided ~ 33%

GOP Primary Trial Heat:
Fletcher/Pence ~ 37%
Jackson/Rudolph ~ 21%
Nunn/Heleringer ~ 12%
Moore/Bell ~ 2%
Other ~ 2%
Undecided ~ 27%

* * * * *

Louisiana
Open

Verne Kennedy 10/8

[This is the poll for the final runoff election ]

Kathleen Blanco (D) 42%
Bobby Jindal (R) 41%

[However, Kennedy adjusted the numbers to account for undecided black voters, who overwhelmingly vote for Democrats, and said the runoff election currently stands in Blanco's favor. With that adjustment, Blanco would get 53 percent of the vote, compared to Jindal's 47 percent]

* * * * *

Mississippi
Ronnie Musgrove (D)

Mississippi Poll 4/1 - 14, 2002
Excellent/Good 41%
Fair/Poor 53%



Governor 2004

Indiana
Joe Kernan (D)

* * * * *

Montana
Judy Martz (R)

Mason Dixon 5/16 - 19
Reelect 18%
Consider Democrat 26%
Vote to Replace 49%
Not Sure 7%

* * * * *

New Hampshire
Craig Benson (R)

Granite State 6/17 - 30
Approve 53%
Disapprove 25%

* * * * *

North Carolina
Mike Easley (D)

Raleigh News 4/21 - 24 (unch)
Favorable 46%
Unfavorable 33%

* * * * *

Utah
Mike Leavitt (R)

DJ & Assoc 4/7 - 12
Reelect: 36%
Someone new: 60%

* * * * *

Washington
Gary Locke (D)

Elway Poll 1/4 - 6
Excellent/Good 30%
Fair/Poor 66%

* * * * *

West Virginia
Bob Wise (D)

(Open in 2004)

Republican Primary Trial Heat (among Republican voters):
Cecil Underwood 30%
Robin Capehart 8%
Sarah Minear 8%
Dan Moore 3%
Monty Warner 3%
Doug McKinney 2%
Other 3%
Undecided 43%

Democratic Primary Trial Heat (among Democratic voters):
Joe Manchin 46%
Darrell McGraw 11%
John Perdue 5%
Jim Humphreys 4%
Lloyd Jackson 3%
Jim Lees 3%
Spike Maynard 2%
Robin Davis 2%
Other 1%
Undecided 25%



Senate 2004

Note: Poll results will increase in frequency as primaries approach.


Alabama
Richard Shelby (R)

* * * * *

Alaska
Lisa Murkowski (R)

Moore Research 07/9 - 11

General Election Trial Heat:

Tony Knowles (D): 52%
Lisa Murkowski (R): 40%
Undecided: 8%

* * * * *

Arkansas
Blanche Lincoln (D)

Univ of AK 10/9 - 20, 2002
Approve: 50%
Disapprove: 16%

* * * * *

Arizona
John McCain (R)

Rocky Mountain 7/14 - 18
Excellent/Good: 68%
Fair: 18%
Poor/Very Poor 8%

* * * * *

Arkansas
Blanche Lincoln (D)

Zogby 8/6 - 9
Favorable: 60%
Unfavorable: 20%
Don't Know: 20%

* * * * *

California
Barbara Boxer (D)

PPI 9/9 - 17
Approve: 41% (52%)
Disapprove: 27% (27%)

* * * * *

Colorado
Ben Campbell (R)

Ridder/Braden 9/1 - 4
Reelect: 38%
Consider other: 29%
vote to replace: 22%

* * * * *

Connecticut
Christopher Dodd (D)

Quinnipiac 7/23 - 29
Approve: 58%
Disapprove: 20%
Don't Know 22%

* * * * *

Florida
Bob Graham (D)

Mason Dixon 7/29 - 31

Favorability ratings for Graham and other possible cadidates

Bob Graham (D)
Favorable: 47%
Unfavorable: 23%

Bill McCollum (R)
Favorable: 22%
Unfavorable: 13%

Betty Castor (D)
Favorable: 18%
Unfavorable: 7%

Alcee Hastings (?)
Favorable: 14%
Unfavorable: 18%

Mark Foley (R)
Favorable: 12%
Unfavorable: 6%

Johnnie Byrd (?)
Favorable: 8%
Unfavorable: 11%

Alex Penelas (D) 27%
Favorable: 10%
Unfavorable: 4%

Peter Deutsch (D)
Favorable: 11%
Unfavorable: 7%

Daniel Webster (?)
Favorable: 9%
Unfavorable: 4%

Allen Boyd (?)
Favorable: 7%
Unfavorable: 3%

* * * * *

Georgia
Zell Miller (D)

Zell retires. Poll shows ratings for 3 likely candidates:

Feldman 3/10 - 14

General Election Trial Heats:

Shirley Franklin (D): 45%
Johnny Isakson (R): 38%

Shirley Franklin (D): 45%
Mac Collins (R): 35%

Shirley Franklin (D)
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 9%

Johnny Isakson (R)
Approve: 31%
Disapprove: 13%

Mac Collins (R)
Approve: 18%
Disapprove: 7%

* * * * *

Hawaii
Daniel Inouye (D)

* * * * *

Idaho
Michael Crapo (R)

* * * * *

Illinois
Peter Fitzgerald (R)

Wesleyan U. 2/25 - 26, 2002
Reelect Fitzgerald: 27%
Someone Else: 38%
Not Sure: 35%

Note: word is that Rove will be pushing for a different GOP candidate in 2004 out of fear that Fitzgerald is vulnerable.

* * * * *

Indiana
Evan Bayh (D)

Indiana U. 6/14 - 18

Approve: 70%
Dissaprove: 12%
Don't Know: 18%

* * * * *

Iowa
Chuck Grassley (R)

DM Register 5/17 - 20

Approve: 74%
Dissaprove: 12%
Don't Know: 14%

* * * * *

Kansas
Sam Brownback (R)

* * * * *

Kentucky
Jim Bunning (R)

Garin-Hart-Yang 6/6 - 8
Reelect Bunning: 40%
Consider Other: 22%
Replace Bunning: 19%

* * * * *

Louisiana
John Breaux (D)

Southern Media 3/14 - 22
Excellent: 13%
Good: 62%
Not so good: 10%
Poor: 4%

* * * * *

Maryland
Barbara Mikulski (D)

Gonzales Research 8/13 - 20

Job Approval
Approve: 64%
Disapprove: 24%

Reelect
Reelect: 53%
Consider Other: 34%
Replace: 13%

* * * * *

Missouri
Christopher Bond (R)

DSCC 3/1 - 4
Reelect: 41%
Consider other: 24%
Replace: 17%

* * * * *

Nevada
Harry Reid (D)

Moore Info 1/22 - 25 (na)

Compares Reid with a potential opponent:

Harry Reid: 48%
Jim Gibbons (R): 40%

* * * * *

New Hampshire
Judd Gregg (R)

Granite State 6/17 - 30
Favorable: 58%
Neutral: 10%
Unfavorable: 16%

* * * * *

New York
Charles Schumer (D)

Quinnipiac 6/18 - 23
Approve: 57%
Disapprove: 23%

* * * * *

North Dakota
Byron Dorgan (D)

* * * * *

North Carolina
John Edwards (D)
Fritz Hollings (D)

Ugh!

General Election Trial Heat with possible candidates:

Erskine Bowles (D): 37%
Richard Burr (R): 43%

Dan Blue (D) 33%
Richard Burr (R): 45%

* * * * *

Ohio
George Voinovich (R)

U of Cinci 2/18 - 23
Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 19%

* * * * *

Pennsylvania
Arlen Specter (R)

Quinnipiac 7/30 - 8/4
Approve: 57%
Disapprove: 27%
Don't Know: 16%

* * * * *

South Carolina
Ernest Hollings (D)
(Retiring)

Hickman Research 7/28 - 8/3

General Election Trial Heat

Inez Tenenbaum (D) 48%
Charlie Condon (R) 36%
Undecided 16%

Inez Tenenbaum (D) 48%
Jim DeMint (R) 33%
Undecided 19%

Inez Tenenbaum (D) 49%
Thomas Ravenel (R) 29%
Undecided 22%

* * * * *

South Dakota
Tom Daschle (D)

Mason-Dixon 8/26 - 27

Excellent/Good: 57%
Fair/Poor: 41%

* * * * *

Vermont
Patrick Leahy (D)

* * * * *

Washington
Patty Murray (D)

Elway Poll 5/20 - 22

Job Rating for Patty Murray
Excellent/Good: 46%
Fair/Poor: 44%

Gen Elect Trial Heat
Patty Murray (D) 49%
George Nethercutt (R) 28%
Other/Don't know 23%


Tarrance Group 5/6 - 6

Reelect Murray 41%
Need new person 39%
Depends on opponent 21%

Gen Elect Trial Heat
Patty Murray (D) 52%
George Nethercutt (R) 37%
Other/Don't know 11%

* * * * *

Wisconsin
Russell Feingold (D)

U. Wisconsin 5/13 - 21
Excellent: 7%
Good: 38%
Fair: 29%
Poor: 11%
Don't Know: 16% (unch)



House 2004

Alabama
Artur Davis (D - 7th CD)

Anzalone-Liszt 5/19 - 22

(500 likely Dem Primary voters polled)

Reelect: 61%
Vote for someone new: 19%
Don't know: 18%

Primary Trial Heats

Artur Davis: 61%
Hank Sanders: 16%

Artur Davis: 61%
Rodger Smitherman: 14%

Artur Davis: 61%
Charles Steele: 12%

* * * * *

Louisiana

Rodney Alexander (D - 5th CD)

Anzalone Liszt 7/13 - 17

General Election Trial Heats

Rodney Alexander (D): 52%
John Cooksey (R): 37%
Undecided: 11%

Rodney Alexander (D): 58%
Lee Fletcher (R): 29%
Undecided: 13%

* * * * *

New Hampshire

Jeb Bradley (R - 1st CD)

Granite State 6/17 - 30

Favorable: 41%
Neutral: 23%
Unfavorable: 14%


Charlie Bass (R - 2nd CD)

Granite State 6/17 - 30

Favorable: 54%
Neutral: 14%
Unfavorable: 15%

* * * * *

South Dakota
Bill Janklow (R)

Mason-Dixon 8/26 - 27
Favorable: 37%
Unfavorable: 33%
Neutral: 30%



General Opinion

NBC/WSJ 9/20 - 22

"Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?"

Right Track: 38% (42%)
Wrong Track: 50% (44%)

* * * * *

Ipsos-Reid 9/16 - 18

"Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?"

Right Track: 37% (39%)
Wrong Track: 57% (56%)

* * * * *

Fox News 9/23 - 24

Who should control congress?

Democrats 41%
Republicans 36%
Neither/Unsure 23%

* * * * *

Democracy Corps 9/14

Who should control congress?

Democrats 47%
Republicans 42%
Neither 1% (unch)
Not sure 11%



Monday, February 24, 2003

 
I Have Seen the Light and His Name is Howard Dean

Prior to the 2000 Election fiasco, there was the 2000 Campaign fiasco. You know, the one where the candidates' stance on the issues was completely subordinated to the candidates' hairstyles, background sighs and make-up. It was pitiful at best. Nevertheless, I paid attention and realized that, although effective leadership requires courage, intelligence, compassion and innovation, being elected to a leadership position does not. The current, "folksy" resident of the White House is the finest example of this truth.

In any event, the search is on for a candidate that can bring it all to the table in 2004. Since Bush obviously fails at everything outside of his folksy façade, we will have to look to the Democrats.

In the past, I was (and am) a Kerry/Edwards supporter. Kerry with his "war hero" status and Edwards with his Clintonian fire-in-the-belly. Unfortunately, there was something about each of them (that I couldn't put my finger on) that told me they would fail in their attempt to unseat Bush.

In fact, it was not until recently, when I watched Howard Dean give a speech on C-Span, that I realized what was missing in these candidates…the power to excite the base.

Watching Dean was an experience. This man has a presence and a demeanor like none I've seen a long time, if ever. I found myself shifting to the edge of my seat. The edges of my mouth mysteriously began to curl upward. I know what this is. It's a smile. This guy can beat Bush!

Now I always agreed with Dean's policies and thought that he was chock full of many great and innovative ideas, but it wasn't until I actually saw him performing that I was sure that this guy has what it takes. Instantly, my reservations of sending a small-state, "New England Liberal" governor to fight Bush melted away. It simply didn't matter anymore. This guy would crush Bush. He is the first true populist in decades to have a legitimate shot at the White House.

To get an idea of the intangibles, you have to see Dean for yourself. When it comes to his policy, I can help a bit. Let's take a look at Dean's positions:

Doctor Dean:

"Howard Dean became governor of Vermont in August 1991 and was subsequently elected to five two-year terms, serving as governor for more than eleven years, until January 2003. Prior to ascending to the corner office, Dean served as lieutenant governor and in the Vermont House of Representatives. Dean's training is as a doctor; before he entered public life he ran an internal medicine practice with his wife, who is still a full-time practicing physician. In November 2002, Governing magazine, terming Dean a "frugal crusader," named him as one of its Public Officials of the Year."

A Fiscally Responsible Populist:

"Under Dean's leadership, virtually every child under 18 in Vermont had access to health care as a result of the expanded Medicaid program, and the child abuse rate was cut in half, in part because of the "Success by Six" program. At the same time Dean cut income taxes and reduced the state's long-term debt. In April 2000 he came to national attention when he signed into law a civil unions bill, granting gay couples the benefits of marriage. Dean describes himself as 'a fiscal conservative and a social progressive.'"


The Issues:

Iraq:

~ Dean is the only candidate with a clear stance on Iraq that does not toe the Bush line.

~ He has said that Bush is too focused on "the wrong war at the wrong time" and that the "right war" would be to target al-Qaeda.

~ He believes Bush should be spending money for the defense of our country by hiring more emergency workers and suggesting more security measures.

~ Dean said he would be prepared to go ahead against Baghdad if the U.N. Security Council approved and if it were "clear the threat posed to us by Saddam Hussein was imminent and could neither be contained nor deterred."

~ Dean has endorsed more of "the hard work of diplomacy and inspection" as alternatives to the Bush war and noted that Bush hasn't made the case for war.


Fiscal Policy:

~ Dean is a fiscal disciplinarian who castigates Bush for "Borrow and Spend" policies that have jacked-up the deficit to $200 billion per year, a direct result of the "reckless" $1.6 trillion tax cut.

~ Dean demands solvency for the Social Security Trust Fund and berates Bush for picking its pockets to give to his wealthy friends

"The bulk of those tax cuts went to those in the top 2 percent of income earners, people like Ken Lay and others who are plundering the American economy. Left behind are middle class and working people who are paying for their tiny tax cuts by losing their jobs and their health insurance."

~ Dean supports a balanced budget and refuses to cut funding to states for things such as the federal highway fund.

~ He supports a broad repeal of the Bush tax cuts (with some exceptions in the estate and retirement areas) in order to provide the needed funding for a Medicare pharmacy benefit, education, better roads and rail systems, and stronger environmental protection.

"Ask most Americans if they would rather have a tax cut or better health coverage, roads and bridges, and schools for their children, they will choose the latter. They also understand - despite hollow Republican promises - that we cannot do both."

In essence...:

"The budget must be balanced; we must build the Social Security Trust Fund; and we must invest in Health and Education once again."


Health Care:

It is in the area of health care that Dean truly shines. It is also an area that will be relentlessly targeted by Republican spin.

"As a doctor, I understand the fear facing families without health insurance. As a Governor, I am proud that virtually every child under 18 and more than 90 percent of adults in Vermont are eligible for health coverage. But as a country, the United States can do better on this front. "

"To help finance this effort, we must repeal the President's tax cuts and balance the federal budget."

"Similar to our program in Vermont, states should be required to guarantee coverage for all children under age 23. In return, the federal government should assume responsibility for drug and acute medical care for Americans over age 65."

"In addition, older Americans deserve a pharmacy benefit under Medicare (an unaffordable impossibility under the current fiscal policies of President Bush). This would cost $450 billion over 10 years, a little more than one quarter of the value of the tax cut. With a pharmaceutical package, Medicare becomes a decent insurance program."

"Finally, to cover those between the ages of 23 and 65, we should use the present employer-based system with refundable tax credits and federal subsidies to cover low- and moderate-income Americans who lack insurance."



Education:

Ironically, Dean pushes for state independence when it comes to education, flying directly in the face of Republicans' selective support for states rights and the Bush doctrine, which imposes federal control over local school district.

"The President's [education] bill not only costs states a fortune, but also takes away local control of the schools and is essentially another unfunded mandate."

"This new federal law will result in the identification -- or mis-identification -- of between 30 and 65 percent of all community schools (depending on your state) as failing. The enormous cost of coming into federal compliance will fall on local property taxpayers. In Vermont, we may forego federal education funds altogether because in the long run this law threatens to make our schools worse rather than better!"

~ Dean supports high standard (but not standardized) testing, and annually published school-by-school results. He seeks to use professional development to help non-performing teachers and schools do a better job, allowing state's to take over a failing school. He also believes that substantial funding for school construction should come from higher levels of government.

~ Above all, Dean insists that parent involvement is the ultimate key to improving education

"…the single most important factor in how a child learns has less to do with the quality of the building, the computers or even the teachers. The most important predictor is the attitude in that child's home toward education. We must involve parents again; we must insist that they participate in their children's education; and we must make schools and school boards responsive to parents."

"But we must under no circumstances abandon the public schools, as the Bush Administration seems bent on doing."



Foreign Policy, Defense and Trade:

"Our long range foreign policy ought to embrace nation building, not run from it. I have traveled to at least 50 countries and seen first-hand that the most successful are those with democracies bolstered by a strong middle class that embraces the full political and economic participation of women. We need a solid game plan to bring those countries that are not democratic, that treat women as second class citizens and that lack a strong middle class into the 21st Century."

"One fear, for example, is that we will leave Afghanistan militarily successful, but without rebuilding that nation to ensure we aren't leaving behind a nation harboring even larger numbers of American-hating terrorists. Defense is not just about building better bombs and intelligence capacity, although these are important. Good defense policy is also about long range vision, and that means engagement with the world."

"One of our biggest security threats is our energy policy. The money which helped finance Osama bin Laden's attacks was our money. Because of our dependence on Middle East oil, the U.S. sent money to Saudi Arabia, which was used in part to fund the fundamentalist Islamic schools in Pakistan and elsewhere which teach hatred of Christians, Jews and Americans. These schools have become fertile recruiting territory for Al Qaeda."

"America needs an energy policy which stresses conservation and renewables, including wind, biomass, ethanol and solar. Not only is renewable energy good for the environment, it is a core piece of a smarter foreign policy."


~ On the labor front, Dean believes that American factories abroad should be subject to the same rules as those in the US in order to ensure competitiveness for US middle-class jobs.

"If free trade allows General Motors to set up a plant in Mexico, free trade should allow the United Auto Workers to organize that plant under conditions similar to those in the U.S. This isn't wage parity; I am asking for shared ground rules."


Environment:

"We have to make practical trade-offs. We need houses, jobs and opportunities for growth. But we don't need to poison ourselves and our heritage in order to have growth."

"I believe we must not only enforce existing clean air and water standards, but strengthen them. We must promote the use of renewable energy sources. We must conserve our wild and open spaces, strengthen our community centers to reduce sprawl, and do everything possible to ensure our natural environment isn't a threat to public health."

"Our fight to protect the environment is not limited to the borders of this nation. The U.S. must work harder to be a neighbor of the world. We should take another look at Kyoto, for example, and find ways to cooperate with other countries instead of opposing them."



Children:

Finally, someone has it right on the issue of children's well being.

"[The process of balancing the budget] involved difficult conversations with state officials, scaling back spending on programs I cared about. It was during one of these conversations that the Commissioner of Corrections came to me asking for a 14% budget increase. Everyone else, including those who provide crucial programs like health care and education, was being asked to cut spending, but prisons -- the most expensive and least effective social service investment we make -- needed more money."

"My view of social spending changed in that instant. Because studies show that any competent kindergarten teacher can make a pretty good guess about the five kids most likely to end up in prison, I decided to focus Vermont's efforts and money on new families with very young babies and children. Surely money spent before a child developed problems would be better spent than after, I reasoned."

"Today in Vermont, we invest in our children. We visit every child and new mother in the hospital at the time of birth. We offer home visits two weeks after discharge to talk about everything from nutrition to housekeeping to substance abuse to the value of reading. Last year 91% of moms accepted our visit. While most of those families didn't need help, the ones who did got the assistance before the child turned one, not when the child showed up in kindergarten with serious problems. I believe that one day this program will result in much lower incarceration rates in Vermont. But the good news is that in the first seven or eight years, we have already seen child abuse drop by 43% in the 0-6 age group, and child sexual abuse drop by 70%. Combine this with what is essentially universal health care for all Vermonters under 18, we also saw one of the largest drops in teen pregnancy in the country."



Gun Control:

I think this is brilliant. It hits the nail on the head. It will also increase his appeal in virtually every "red state".

"Vermont has the lowest homicide rate in the United States. During Dean's eleven years in office the most murders in a single year has been 25, the lowest number was 5. Over half of these have been domestic assaults, the majority are not committed with a firearm. If you say "gun control" in Vermont or Tennessee, or Colorado, people think you want to take away their hunting rifle. If you say "gun control" New York or L.A., people are happy to see Uzi's or illegal handguns taken off the streets. I think Vermont ought to be able to have a different set of laws than California. Let's keep and enforce the federal gun laws we have, close the gun show loophole using Insta-check, and then let the states decide for themselves what if any gun control laws they want. We need to get guns off the national radar screen if Democrats are ever going to win again in the South and the West, and if we can't win in the South and the West, we can't win national elections. In 2000, guns cost us at least West Virginia, Tennessee, and Montana, and with them the Presidency of the United States. Just as we resist attempts by President Bush to dictate to the states how we run our school systems and what kind of welfare programs to have, we need to resist attempts to tell states how to deal with guns beyond existing Federal law."


Abortion:

Dean tells it like it is and he recognizes the right-wing spin a mile away.

"The notion of "partial birth abortion" is nonsense. This is a rare procedure used only to save the life or health of the mother. We have had no third trimester abortions in Vermont in the past four years."

I love this guy, and at this very early stage of the game, I give him a ringing endorsement. Keep an eye on him. Of course I don't have to remind you that there is still a long way to the primaries.

Nevertheless, here is Dean, an incredibly charismatic leader with original ideas. He excites the base and offers a defined alternative to Bush. He is not afraid to speak his mind or to confront the Republicans, something the Democrats have had a difficult time doing since 911.

I don't mean to be so one-sided. As mentioned above, I also like Kerry and Edwards. Nevertheless, it is Dean that I think has the set of characteristics necessary to bury Bush in the 2004 Election.

Let me know what you think.

See also: "John Edwards: Clinton II or Empty Suit?"

Join our mailing list!

posted by Thomas Ball 4:44 PM

We've Moved!!!

Check out the NEW

and IMPROVED:

PoliticalStrategy.org


An Evolution has begun. Politicalstrategy.org has officially closed down. Look for DailyNewsOnline.com to rise from the ashes, a powerful new site you won't want to miss. Click here to find out more! Click here to join the mailing list and be notified when the DailyNewsOnline is launched!


Novak Revealed A Source in July of 2001: According to Novak, "Disclosing confidential sources is unthinkable for a reporter seeking to probe behind the scenes in official Washington, but the circumstances here are obviously extraordinary" - Circumstances Don't Get Much More 'Extraordinary' than those surrounding 'Plame-Gate', Bob! (10/10)

Terrorist Hopeful Pat Robertson Said Someone Should Blow Up the State Department with a Nuclear Bomb (10/10)

John Dean: "If Newsweek is correct that Karl Rove declared Valerie Plame Wilson "fair game," then he should make sure he's got a good criminal lawyer, for he may need one. I've only suggested the most obvious criminal statute that might come into play for those who exploit the leak of a CIA asset's identity. There are others." (10/10)

Bush Officials Bend Iraq Facts Till They Break (10/10)

Latecomer Clark has Unusual Strategy (10/10)

Krugman: "In the months after 9/11, a shocked nation wanted to believe the best of its leader, and Mr. Bush was treated with reverence. But he abused the trust placed in him, pushing a partisan agenda that has left the nation weakened and divided." (10/10)

Governor Schwarzenegger?: "He has no political experience, no policies and a cupboard full of skeletons. So what does the rise of the Terminator tell us about the state of American politics? And should we be worried?" (10/10)

White House Failed to Consult Rumsfeld on Shake-Up: "I'm really quite surprised by all the froo-frah about this memo," Rumsfeld Said. "It's a little, short, one-page memo." - Yeah, and One of Bush' Big Lie's was just "16 words" (10/09)

Don't Believe the Government's Line on 911? Check Out this Meticulously Footnoted Article and Prepare for Your Jaw to Drop (10/09)

US Patriot Act Looks Like Tentacles of Totalitarianism (10/09)

Al Gore Would Rather be Roger Ailes than President (10/09)

OUTRAGE: Cover-Up in Treasongate - "White House lawyers are screening documents submitted as possible evidence to determine who leaked an undercover CIA officer's identity, mindful that officials from the president on down have expressed doubt that the leaker will be found." (10/8)

PM Howard Censured by Senate Over Iraq Lies: What About Bush??? (10/8)

New Watergate Soaks Bush White House (10/8)

Vouchers Sure to Hurt Those Most in Need: The School-Voucher Crusade is a Fraud Founded on a Myth (10/8)

Right Wing Enraged by Bush Lies: Yes, Bush lied (10/8)

A Tribute to Weapons Inspectors: The UN Knew Full Well That No WMD Would be Found in Iraq (10/8)

Lies, Lies, Lies: Revelation Casts Doubt on Iraq find - "The test tube of botulinum presented by Washington and London as evidence that Saddam Hussein had been developing and concealing weapons of mass destruction, was found in an Iraqi scientist's home refrigerator, where it had been sitting for 10 years, it emerged yesterday." (10/7)

Bush Admits That the Outing of Plame is a Crime: "This is a serious charge, by the way. We're talking about a criminal action." (10/7)

Republicans Unsure of Bush's Chances for 2004 Election: "In a sharp reversal, Republicans who just months ago daydreamed about a 2004 election landslide now worry that President Bush is losing control of events at home and abroad and faces a real chance of leading the party to defeat." (10/7)

GOP Pollsters Insist Dean Can Beat Bush (10/7)

Right-Wing 'Scholar' Urges Rich Nations (i.e. The US) To Take Over 'Failed States' (i.e. Every Other Nation) to 'Lift the Curse of Natural Resources' (i.e. Pillage and Plunder) (10/7)

Lies, Lies, Lies: Cook Says Blair Accepted Before War That '45-minute' Claim was Bogus - Ex Minister's Diary May Prove to be the Final Nail in Blair's Political Coffin (10/6)

Schwarzenegger's Love Child Scandal (10/6)

McClintock Calls on Schwarzenegger to Resign If Charges Prove True (10/6)

Davis Calls for Criminal Investigation into Schwarzenegger's Alleged 'Sexual Battery' (10/6)

Gore Knows Where the Political Battles are Won: Eyes CBC-Launched Cable Company (10/6)

Mice To Test Bush's Food For Poison (10/6)

Lies. Lies, Lies!!!!!: Newsweek to Reveal Details That Undercut the White House Line on the 'Plame-Gate' Leak (10/5)

Thirty-Four Pages of Internal Enron Memoranda Detail Tryst Between Schwarzenegger, Ken Lay and Michael Milken: It Turns Out That Schwarzenegger Knowingly Joined the Hush-Hush Encounter as Part of a Campaign to Sabotage a Davis-Bustamante Plan to Make Enron and Other Power Pirates Then Ravaging California Pay Back the $9 Billion in Illicit Profits They Stole from its Citizens (10/5)

Lies, Lies, Lies: Bush Promised That the Cost of Rebuilding Iraq Would be Paid for by Iraq's Own Oil Revenues. Billions of Taxpayer Dollars Later We Find Out That the Administration's Assertions Were at Odds with a Much Bleaker Assessment of a Government Task Force Secretly Established Last Fall to Study Iraq's Oil Industry (10/5)

Lies, Lies, Lies: Cook Says, 'Blair admitted to me that Saddam had no usable WMD' (10/5)

Real US Unemployment Rate is 9.7%: "Many of the people who do have jobs are working only part-time. According to the Labor Department, if you add all the workers "marginally attached" to the labor force -- out of work and not looking for work -- to all those working part-time and those unemployed and looking for work." (10/5)

Wesley Clark Called for an Independent Probe of the Bush Administration's Use of Intelligence Before the Iraq War, Calling it "Twisted" and Possibly Criminal (10/4)

Suspicion Centers on Lewis Libby: "Dick Cheney's Chief of Staff helped hype the Iraq threat and discredit Joe Wilson. But while the White House has denied Karl Rove is the leaker, so far it's left Libby twisting slowly in the wind." (10/4)

Lies, Lies, Lies: David Kay Claims About Iraq Nukes Lack Evidence - "An expert close to the U.N. nuclear watchdog Friday cast doubt on new U.S. claims that Saddam Hussein's Iraq had been planning to revive its atomic weapons program until the U.S. invasion in March." (10/4)

Lies, Lies, Lies: David Kay's Bacteria in Iraq Means Nothing (10/4)

Debunking Right Wing Spin: Four Separate Ex-CIA Employees are Now on the Record Saying Plame was Undercover and Ran a Network of Informants, and a Fifth who Knew Wilson and had 24 Years at the Agency Says He Didn't Know Plame Worked There ?— Which Means Her Status was Hardly Common Knowledge. (10/4)

Bush Expresses Support for Limbaugh: "Rush is a great American." (10/4)

Bush's 'Great American' is a Total Racist: What does That Tell You About Bush? (10/4)

Bush Projected That His Tax Cut Package, Which Took Effect in July 2003 and was Titled the ?“Jobs and Growth Plan?”, would Create Would Raise the Level of Growth Enough to Create 344,000 New Jobs Each Month: So Far Reality Lags Bush Promises by 672,000 Jobs (10/4)

John Dean Says Plame and Wilson Should Sue the Bush Administration (10/4)

Study: Wrong Impressions Promoted by fox News Helped Support Iraq War: "...it does appear likely that support for the war would be substantially lower if fewer members of the public had these misperceptions." (10/4)

Rush's Drug Abuse Probably Caused His Deafness (10/4)

Cheney Chief-of-Staff, Lewis 'Scooter' Libby Named as Plame-Gate Leaker: Cheney Can't be Far Behind (10/3)

Schwarzenegger: "I Admired Hitler" (10/3)

Confidence in Bush Slipping: Foreign Policy Hits New Lows (44% Approval), Half of Americans (50%) Don't Have Confidence in His Ability to Handle an International Crisis, and a Majority (53%) Now Believes the War in Iraq Wasn't Worth it (10/3)

Perfect Example of the Dangers of Media Deregulation: American Media, Owner of Virtually Every Major Tabloid in the US Promised Joe Weider (Arnold's Maker) That They Would 'Lay Off' the Groper After Executing with Weider a $350 million Business Deal (10/3)

Krugman: 'Slime and Defend' (10/3)



* * * * *

PS.org Articles

Japan Prepares for Preemptive Strikes Against North Korea (05/24/03)

'Mini Nukes' and the Proliferation of Bush (05/22/03)

Missile Shield for Every Nation (05/21/03)

And Whitman Makes Twelve (05/21/03)

Special Interests Defeat Dying Nations (05/20/03)

Ari Fleischer: 11th High Profile Admin Member to Step Down in Year and a Half (05/19/03)

Criminal GOP Hits a Homerun (05/18/03)

Where's the Freedom? (05/17/03)

Morality in America: What About Bush? (05/16/03)

Bush: Stimulates Cronies While Screwing the Public (05/15/03)

Bill Bennett and the Seven Deadly Sins (05/13/03)

Bush Breaks the (spirit of the) Law (05/08/03)

Why are They Still Here? 14 Dead, No WMD (04/30/03)

50 Steps to Armageddon: How Bush Brought Us to the Brink With North Korea (updated 04/25/03)

North Korea: War at any moment (04/24/03)

More Foreign Policy Bumbling (04/23/03)

Clever Bastards! (04/22/03)

"Coalition" Abandons Bush. Now What? (04/18/03)

Bechtel: Has Halliburton Met its Match? (04/17/03)

Going for the Easy Kill (04/16/03)

Syria: Key to Israeli-Palestinian Peace? (04/15/03)

Lessons From War Games (04/14/03)

Reign of the Executioners (04/12/03)

Syria and Iran: Prepare for Invasion - A Reference for Seekers of Truth (04/10/03)

CNN Refuses to do Its Job (04/08/03)

People Hate Bush Three Times as Much as They Hate Clinton (04/07/03)

CNN Scrubs Earth-Shaking Republican Admission (04/07/03)

It was Never About Finding WMD (04/07/03)

"America - Love it or leave it!": New Slogan of the Free Speech Movement (04/03/03)

Lies, Lies and More Lies: Marketplace Deaths Were Caused by a US Missile (04/02/03)

Death is Death: Terrorism vs. Military Strikes (04/02/03)

Rumsfeld Lies About Syria: Setup for Operation "Syria Freedom"? (03/31/03)

Public Enemy Number One: "Free Speech" Terrorists (03/31/03)

Perle Gets Whacked Due to Gross Lack of Ethics (03/28/03)

Crushing Dissent in the Era of Bush (03/27/03)

Colin Powell Threatens Belgium (03/26/03)

Complications in a Modern Invasion (03/25/03)

What Are the Chances That We Find WMD in the Soon-to-Be Occupied Iraq? (03/24/03)

CWC VII - GOP Celebrates Murder (03/19/03)

Strategy Behind the Resolution Withdrawal (03/18/03)

Ulterior Motives Dominate European Leaders' Alignment with Bush (03/17/03)

Buying UN Security Council Votes and a Political Mandate (03/13/03)

I Would Never Say "Richard Perle is a Terrorist!" (03/12/03)

Are the Bush-Iraq Lies Getting Through? (03/11/03)

Top 30 Bush - Iraq Lies: A Reference For Seekers of Truth (03/10/03)

CWC VI - War for Oil and Nothing Else (03/08//03)

BEWARE: Bush Crusade 03-03-03 (02/28/03)

Bush, Peace and B.E.T. (02/27/03)

Mr. Bush, You're Under Arrest (02/25/03)

I Have Seen the Light and His Name is Howard Dean (02/24/03)

Bush Leads America Down Path to Extinction (02/23/03)

Bush Undermines UN Inspectors (02/22/03)

CWC V - Iraq is Clintons Fault (02/19/03)

Defending Clinton, Prosecuting Hatch (02/17/03)

Refuting a Myth About US Military Spending (02/13/03)

The First Attack Made Bush. Would a Second Attack Unmake Him?
(02/12/03)

Tokenism, It's Not Just For Breakfast Anymore (02/10/03)

North Korea Threatens US: Arguing Against the First-Strike Precedent (02/06/03)

It's the Credibility, Stupid (02/05/03)

Bush, Iraq, al Qaeda and the Art of Lying (02/04/03)

If Blix n' Bush Were Under Oath (02/03/03)

Hypocrisy: A Proud GOP Tradition (02/02/03)

Don't Believe the Hype! Europe Rejects Bush! (01/30/03)

CWC IV - Bigotry Revealed (01/29/03)

Iraq, Guilty Until Proven Innocent (01/28/03)

CWC III - War for Oil (01/25/03)

Seeds of Destruction: What Keeps Bush From Planting Evidence of WMD in Iraq? (01/24/03)

Roll Call: Where has the Administration Gone? (01/23/03)

CWC II - Ulterior Motives (01/22/03)

Civil Rights Records Spotlight the Stealth Bigots (01/21/03)

CWC I - It Served Our Interests (01/17/03)

WANTED as "Enemy Combatants": Weinberger, Abrams and McFarlane (01/15/03)

A Parable of Taxation and Propaganda (01/14/03)

John Edwards: Clinton II ??? (01/10/03)

A Racist Bush (01/10/03)

Building a Progressive Media (01/02/03)

Eliminating Lott (12/09/02)

Energy Policy (12/09/02)

Abolish the Electoral College (12/09/02)


* * * * *

Recent Tactics

Conduct Questionable Behavior in the Name of the US and Label Those Who Criticize that Behavior as Un-American (04/29/03)

Downplay Your Opponent's Rhetoric (04/15/03)

Be Aggressive (02/26/03)

Use Keywords (02/20/03)

Support the Opposition Underdog (02/18/03)

Radical Policy in Baby Steps (02/11/03)

Be Bold (02/08/03)

Choose Spokesperson from Your Weakest Demographic (01/18/03)

Vote Along Party Lines (01/13/03)

* * * * *






politicalstrategy.org Fair Use Notice | Privacy
© 2002 Political Strategy.us Letters to the Editor
1