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Latest Polls:

Bush Approval
2004 President
Governor 2003
Governor 2004
Senate 2004
House 2004
General Opinion

and indicate whether the poll numbers are up or down from the previous poll. Incumbents are in italics. (prior results in '()')

Bush Approval

CBS News 9/28 - 01
Approve: 51% (52%)
Disapprove: 42% (39%)

ABC/WP 9/30
Approve: 54% (58%)
Disapprove: 44% (40%)

Newsweek 9/25 - 26
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 40%

Zogby 9/22 - 24
Approve: 50%
Disapprove: 49%

NBC/WSJ 9/20 - 22
Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 45%

Gallup 9/19 - 21
Approve: 50%
Disapprove: 47%

Newsweek 9/18 - 19
Approve: 51%
Disapprove: 42%

Ipsos-Reid 9/16 - 18
Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 43%

CBS News 9/15 - 16
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 39%

House GOP Internal 9/2003
Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 46%

ABC/WP 9/10 - 13
Approve: 58%
Disapprove: 40%

Newsweek 9/11 - 12
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 39%



President 2004

Newsweek 9/25 - 26

Democratic Primary
Wesley Clark: 16% (14%)
Howard Dean: 12% (12%)
John Kerry: 10% (10%)
Dick Gephardt: 10% (8%)
Joe Lieberman: 9% (12%)
John Edwards: 6% (6%)
Al Sharpton: 4% (7%)
Bob Graham: 2% (4%)
Moseley Braun: 2% (2%)
Dennis Kucinich: 2% (2%)
Not sure: 20% (19%)

* * * * *

Zogby 9/22 - 24

Democratic Primary
Wesley Clark: 12% (3%)
Howard Dean: 12% (16%)
John Kerry: 7% (13%)
Dick Gephardt: 6% (8%)
Joe Lieberman: 5% (12%)
Al Sharpton: 4% (2%)
Moseley Braun: 4% (2%)
John Edwards: 2% (3%)
Dennis Kucinich: 1% (1%)
Bob Graham: 1% (0%)
Other: 3% (3%)
Not sure: 43% (38%)

* * * * *

NBC/WSJ 9/20 - 22

Democratic Primary
Howard Dean: 17% (12%)
Wesley Clark: 16% (na)
Joe Lieberman: 16% (25%)
John Kerry: 11% (14%)
Richard Gephardt: 8% (11%)
John Edwards: 4% (4%)
Al Sharpton: 3% (3%)
Bob Graham: 2% (4%)
Dennis Kucinich: 2% (2%)
Moseley Braun: 1% (5%)
None: 4% (6%)
Other: 1% (1%)
Not sure: 14% (21%)

* * * * *

Newsweek 9/25 - 26

Bush Reelect
Yes 46% (44%)
No 47% (50%)
Not Sure 7% (6%)

* * * * *

Zogby 9/22 - 24

Bush Reelect
Yes 43% (40%)
Someone new 49% (52%)
Not Sure 8% (8%)

* * * * *

CBS/NYT9/28 - 01

Bush vs Dem
Bush 44%
Democrat 44%
Other, etc. 12%

* * * * *

Zogby 9/22 - 24

Bush vs Dem
Bush 41% (39%)
Democrat 45% (47%)
Not sure 12% (11%)



Governor 2003

Kentucky
Open

Bannon Communications 5/11 - 12

Dem Primary Trial Heat:
Chandler/Owen ~ 25%
Richards/Miller ~ 16%
Lunsford/Edelman ~ 15%
Undecided ~ 44%

Bluegrass Poll 5/6 - 11

Dem Primary Trial Heat:
Chandler/Owen ~ 31%
Lunsford/Edelman ~ 19%
Richards/Miller ~ 14
Hensley Jr./Robbins ~ 1 (unch)
Other ~ 2%
Undecided ~ 33%

GOP Primary Trial Heat:
Fletcher/Pence ~ 37%
Jackson/Rudolph ~ 21%
Nunn/Heleringer ~ 12%
Moore/Bell ~ 2%
Other ~ 2%
Undecided ~ 27%

* * * * *

Louisiana
Open

Verne Kennedy 10/8

[This is the poll for the final runoff election ]

Kathleen Blanco (D) 42%
Bobby Jindal (R) 41%

[However, Kennedy adjusted the numbers to account for undecided black voters, who overwhelmingly vote for Democrats, and said the runoff election currently stands in Blanco's favor. With that adjustment, Blanco would get 53 percent of the vote, compared to Jindal's 47 percent]

* * * * *

Mississippi
Ronnie Musgrove (D)

Mississippi Poll 4/1 - 14, 2002
Excellent/Good 41%
Fair/Poor 53%



Governor 2004

Indiana
Joe Kernan (D)

* * * * *

Montana
Judy Martz (R)

Mason Dixon 5/16 - 19
Reelect 18%
Consider Democrat 26%
Vote to Replace 49%
Not Sure 7%

* * * * *

New Hampshire
Craig Benson (R)

Granite State 6/17 - 30
Approve 53%
Disapprove 25%

* * * * *

North Carolina
Mike Easley (D)

Raleigh News 4/21 - 24 (unch)
Favorable 46%
Unfavorable 33%

* * * * *

Utah
Mike Leavitt (R)

DJ & Assoc 4/7 - 12
Reelect: 36%
Someone new: 60%

* * * * *

Washington
Gary Locke (D)

Elway Poll 1/4 - 6
Excellent/Good 30%
Fair/Poor 66%

* * * * *

West Virginia
Bob Wise (D)

(Open in 2004)

Republican Primary Trial Heat (among Republican voters):
Cecil Underwood 30%
Robin Capehart 8%
Sarah Minear 8%
Dan Moore 3%
Monty Warner 3%
Doug McKinney 2%
Other 3%
Undecided 43%

Democratic Primary Trial Heat (among Democratic voters):
Joe Manchin 46%
Darrell McGraw 11%
John Perdue 5%
Jim Humphreys 4%
Lloyd Jackson 3%
Jim Lees 3%
Spike Maynard 2%
Robin Davis 2%
Other 1%
Undecided 25%



Senate 2004

Note: Poll results will increase in frequency as primaries approach.


Alabama
Richard Shelby (R)

* * * * *

Alaska
Lisa Murkowski (R)

Moore Research 07/9 - 11

General Election Trial Heat:

Tony Knowles (D): 52%
Lisa Murkowski (R): 40%
Undecided: 8%

* * * * *

Arkansas
Blanche Lincoln (D)

Univ of AK 10/9 - 20, 2002
Approve: 50%
Disapprove: 16%

* * * * *

Arizona
John McCain (R)

Rocky Mountain 7/14 - 18
Excellent/Good: 68%
Fair: 18%
Poor/Very Poor 8%

* * * * *

Arkansas
Blanche Lincoln (D)

Zogby 8/6 - 9
Favorable: 60%
Unfavorable: 20%
Don't Know: 20%

* * * * *

California
Barbara Boxer (D)

PPI 9/9 - 17
Approve: 41% (52%)
Disapprove: 27% (27%)

* * * * *

Colorado
Ben Campbell (R)

Ridder/Braden 9/1 - 4
Reelect: 38%
Consider other: 29%
vote to replace: 22%

* * * * *

Connecticut
Christopher Dodd (D)

Quinnipiac 7/23 - 29
Approve: 58%
Disapprove: 20%
Don't Know 22%

* * * * *

Florida
Bob Graham (D)

Mason Dixon 7/29 - 31

Favorability ratings for Graham and other possible cadidates

Bob Graham (D)
Favorable: 47%
Unfavorable: 23%

Bill McCollum (R)
Favorable: 22%
Unfavorable: 13%

Betty Castor (D)
Favorable: 18%
Unfavorable: 7%

Alcee Hastings (?)
Favorable: 14%
Unfavorable: 18%

Mark Foley (R)
Favorable: 12%
Unfavorable: 6%

Johnnie Byrd (?)
Favorable: 8%
Unfavorable: 11%

Alex Penelas (D) 27%
Favorable: 10%
Unfavorable: 4%

Peter Deutsch (D)
Favorable: 11%
Unfavorable: 7%

Daniel Webster (?)
Favorable: 9%
Unfavorable: 4%

Allen Boyd (?)
Favorable: 7%
Unfavorable: 3%

* * * * *

Georgia
Zell Miller (D)

Zell retires. Poll shows ratings for 3 likely candidates:

Feldman 3/10 - 14

General Election Trial Heats:

Shirley Franklin (D): 45%
Johnny Isakson (R): 38%

Shirley Franklin (D): 45%
Mac Collins (R): 35%

Shirley Franklin (D)
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 9%

Johnny Isakson (R)
Approve: 31%
Disapprove: 13%

Mac Collins (R)
Approve: 18%
Disapprove: 7%

* * * * *

Hawaii
Daniel Inouye (D)

* * * * *

Idaho
Michael Crapo (R)

* * * * *

Illinois
Peter Fitzgerald (R)

Wesleyan U. 2/25 - 26, 2002
Reelect Fitzgerald: 27%
Someone Else: 38%
Not Sure: 35%

Note: word is that Rove will be pushing for a different GOP candidate in 2004 out of fear that Fitzgerald is vulnerable.

* * * * *

Indiana
Evan Bayh (D)

Indiana U. 6/14 - 18

Approve: 70%
Dissaprove: 12%
Don't Know: 18%

* * * * *

Iowa
Chuck Grassley (R)

DM Register 5/17 - 20

Approve: 74%
Dissaprove: 12%
Don't Know: 14%

* * * * *

Kansas
Sam Brownback (R)

* * * * *

Kentucky
Jim Bunning (R)

Garin-Hart-Yang 6/6 - 8
Reelect Bunning: 40%
Consider Other: 22%
Replace Bunning: 19%

* * * * *

Louisiana
John Breaux (D)

Southern Media 3/14 - 22
Excellent: 13%
Good: 62%
Not so good: 10%
Poor: 4%

* * * * *

Maryland
Barbara Mikulski (D)

Gonzales Research 8/13 - 20

Job Approval
Approve: 64%
Disapprove: 24%

Reelect
Reelect: 53%
Consider Other: 34%
Replace: 13%

* * * * *

Missouri
Christopher Bond (R)

DSCC 3/1 - 4
Reelect: 41%
Consider other: 24%
Replace: 17%

* * * * *

Nevada
Harry Reid (D)

Moore Info 1/22 - 25 (na)

Compares Reid with a potential opponent:

Harry Reid: 48%
Jim Gibbons (R): 40%

* * * * *

New Hampshire
Judd Gregg (R)

Granite State 6/17 - 30
Favorable: 58%
Neutral: 10%
Unfavorable: 16%

* * * * *

New York
Charles Schumer (D)

Quinnipiac 6/18 - 23
Approve: 57%
Disapprove: 23%

* * * * *

North Dakota
Byron Dorgan (D)

* * * * *

North Carolina
John Edwards (D)
Fritz Hollings (D)

Ugh!

General Election Trial Heat with possible candidates:

Erskine Bowles (D): 37%
Richard Burr (R): 43%

Dan Blue (D) 33%
Richard Burr (R): 45%

* * * * *

Ohio
George Voinovich (R)

U of Cinci 2/18 - 23
Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 19%

* * * * *

Pennsylvania
Arlen Specter (R)

Quinnipiac 7/30 - 8/4
Approve: 57%
Disapprove: 27%
Don't Know: 16%

* * * * *

South Carolina
Ernest Hollings (D)
(Retiring)

Hickman Research 7/28 - 8/3

General Election Trial Heat

Inez Tenenbaum (D) 48%
Charlie Condon (R) 36%
Undecided 16%

Inez Tenenbaum (D) 48%
Jim DeMint (R) 33%
Undecided 19%

Inez Tenenbaum (D) 49%
Thomas Ravenel (R) 29%
Undecided 22%

* * * * *

South Dakota
Tom Daschle (D)

Mason-Dixon 8/26 - 27

Excellent/Good: 57%
Fair/Poor: 41%

* * * * *

Vermont
Patrick Leahy (D)

* * * * *

Washington
Patty Murray (D)

Elway Poll 5/20 - 22

Job Rating for Patty Murray
Excellent/Good: 46%
Fair/Poor: 44%

Gen Elect Trial Heat
Patty Murray (D) 49%
George Nethercutt (R) 28%
Other/Don't know 23%


Tarrance Group 5/6 - 6

Reelect Murray 41%
Need new person 39%
Depends on opponent 21%

Gen Elect Trial Heat
Patty Murray (D) 52%
George Nethercutt (R) 37%
Other/Don't know 11%

* * * * *

Wisconsin
Russell Feingold (D)

U. Wisconsin 5/13 - 21
Excellent: 7%
Good: 38%
Fair: 29%
Poor: 11%
Don't Know: 16% (unch)



House 2004

Alabama
Artur Davis (D - 7th CD)

Anzalone-Liszt 5/19 - 22

(500 likely Dem Primary voters polled)

Reelect: 61%
Vote for someone new: 19%
Don't know: 18%

Primary Trial Heats

Artur Davis: 61%
Hank Sanders: 16%

Artur Davis: 61%
Rodger Smitherman: 14%

Artur Davis: 61%
Charles Steele: 12%

* * * * *

Louisiana

Rodney Alexander (D - 5th CD)

Anzalone Liszt 7/13 - 17

General Election Trial Heats

Rodney Alexander (D): 52%
John Cooksey (R): 37%
Undecided: 11%

Rodney Alexander (D): 58%
Lee Fletcher (R): 29%
Undecided: 13%

* * * * *

New Hampshire

Jeb Bradley (R - 1st CD)

Granite State 6/17 - 30

Favorable: 41%
Neutral: 23%
Unfavorable: 14%


Charlie Bass (R - 2nd CD)

Granite State 6/17 - 30

Favorable: 54%
Neutral: 14%
Unfavorable: 15%

* * * * *

South Dakota
Bill Janklow (R)

Mason-Dixon 8/26 - 27
Favorable: 37%
Unfavorable: 33%
Neutral: 30%



General Opinion

NBC/WSJ 9/20 - 22

"Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?"

Right Track: 38% (42%)
Wrong Track: 50% (44%)

* * * * *

Ipsos-Reid 9/16 - 18

"Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?"

Right Track: 37% (39%)
Wrong Track: 57% (56%)

* * * * *

Fox News 9/23 - 24

Who should control congress?

Democrats 41%
Republicans 36%
Neither/Unsure 23%

* * * * *

Democracy Corps 9/14

Who should control congress?

Democrats 47%
Republicans 42%
Neither 1% (unch)
Not sure 11%



Thursday, October 09, 2003

 
White House Failed to Consult Rumsfeld on Shake-Up: "I'm really quite surprised by all the froo-frah about this memo," Rumsfeld Said. "It's a little, short, one-page memo." - Yeah, and One of Bush' Big Lie's was just "16 words"

The Bush administration's shake-up of its policymaking structure for Iraq was over- shadowed on Wednesday by an admission from the White House that Donald Rumsfeld, the defence secretary in charge of reconstruction, had not been consulted.

Backtracking on the assurances he made at the beginning of the week that Mr Rumsfeld had been "very involved in this process", Scott McClellan, the White House press secretary, said on Wednesday: "Maybe I should not have characterised it that way."

Mr Rumsfeld told the Financial Times on Tuesday he had not learnt of the Iraq Stabilization Group, a new co-ordinating body headed by Condoleezza Rice, national security adviser, until he received a classified memo from her. Mr Rumsfeld said he had not been briefed beforehand.

Speaking at a press conference on the first day of a gathering of Nato ministers on Wednesday, Mr Rumsfeld said he was not upset with Ms Rice over the handling of the restructuring, but again asserted the memo would not change administration decision-making.

He noted that Paul Bremer, the US-appointed administrator in Iraq, would still report to the Pentagon and sought to play down Ms Rice's initiative. "I'm really quite surprised by all the froo-frah about this memo," he said. "It's a little, short, one-page memo."

Mr Rumsfeld again acknowledged that he had not been brought into the process of forming the new group before it was established. But he said more junior officials at the Pentagon had been told about the reorganisation.

"I get three or four memos from the NSC a day," he said.

Ms Rice had told the New York Times over the weekend that she had devised the new group together with Dick Cheney, vice-president, Colin Powell, the secretary of state, and Mr Rumsfeld in August.

On Wednesday Mr McClellan said that while Mr Rumsfeld was not consulted prior to issuing the memo, Mr Bremer had been.

Ms Rice's appointment at the helm of the group was viewed as an effort to restore the authority of the National Security Council, which has been criticised for handing over the reconstruction effort to Mr Rumsfeld's Pentagon.

But Mr Rumsfeld, a Chicago native, said his failure to be briefed beforehand should not be seen as significant. "With the Chicago Cubs in the play-offs and what's going on in California, we can find something more important than that."

With the president's poll ratings sagging, the administration's shake-up of its policymaking structure for Iraq was to be part of a week-long effort to retake the public relations initiative over reconstruction. Instead it exposed, rather than resolved, differences in the president's national security team.

William Kristol, an influential neo-conservative with close ties to the Bush administration, wrote in the latest Weekly Standard magazine that the administration had been virtually "invisible" in making its case for an extra $87bn in spending on Iraq and Afghanistan.

"One reason for this is that the civil war in the Bush administration has become crippling," he wrote. "The CIA is in open revolt against the White House. The State Department and the Defense Department aren't working together at all." - Source

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posted by Politica 9:39 AM

 
US Patriot Act Looks Like Tentacles of Totalitarianism

Only in America?

It's a strange feeling to wake up one average, middle-class North American morning and realise your beliefs could get you killed. Not in a random, drive-by, developing-world, terrorist-bombing kind of way. But in an officially sanctioned, totally legal, death by lethal injection way.

At least, if President Bush's call on Congress on the eve of the second anniversary of September 11 to extend the death penalty is anything to go by.

It began in June when Attorney-General John Ashcroft told lawmakers that the death penalty needed to be expanded to cover "material supporters" of terrorist organisations. On the surface it seems fair enough. If you give money to al Qaeda then you have to expect a harsh penalty.

But there's a catch. They've changed the definition of terrorist.

In fact the Patriot II Act redefines terrorism so vaguely and broadly it's not a great leap to envisage the definition including political activists or just about anyone who belongs to an organisation that disagrees with the Administration.

Greenpeace for example. It stands for non-violent, creative confrontation to expose global environmental problems and their causes. While Greenpeace is adamant it does not endorse sabotage it's really only a matter of definition, especially since the organisation has simulated sabotaging safety at nuclear facilities.

And given that Bush specifically stated that the death penalty should be used in certain cases of sabotage against military and nuclear facilities, it's not difficult to see how Greenpeace could be ruled a terrorist organisation, transforming your membership into material support.

A little extreme perhaps? Not if you consider the FBI arrest of peaceful protesters exposing an illegal shipment of mahogany. Or the dubbing of acts of vandalism by the Earth Liberation Front (they spray-painted slogans such as "greed and sloth" on SUVs) as domestic terrorism. Or the ability under Patriot II to conduct all manner of surveillance without warrants; authorise secret arrests, detentions, and grand jury subpoenas; create DNA databases of those suspected of association with terrorism or terrorist groups; and to enable the Government to remove citizenship from persons who belong to or support disfavoured political groups.

But its not only your organisation membership that brings you under the Patriot II umbrella. Hiding behind that new broad catch-all phrase, domestic terrorism, the act is shaping up to become a crime-fighting tool par excellence.

US Justice Dept official Mark Corallo was reported in the New York Times as saying they have an obligation to do everything to protect the lives and liberties of Americans from attack, whether it's from terrorists or garden-variety criminals.

And there, right before your eyes, you see how far the ground has shifted. Under Patriot II all other criminal legislation can be short-circuited, the laws and standards of evidence lowered, the usual legal checks and balances of a democratic society superseded. And instead of a judiciary-led legal system you begin to understand it's the FBI that is in charge, with a Government agenda.

Under imminent terrorist attack those shortcuts make perfect sense, but when used against local drug dealers, car thieves, internet fraudsters et al, they begin to look suspiciously like the early tentacles of a totalitarian society.

Section 127 of Patriot II allows the Federal Government to supersede all local statutes governing autopsies. So imagine yourself caught up in an investigation following, say, your attendance at an anti-war rally. Remember, under this act you can't call a lawyer or even a family member. Essentially, once you've slipped into the wide cracks of the over-broad definition of a terrorist, you have no rights at all.

And if perhaps you died while under interrogation, the autopsy results could show a suicide or some other finding favourable to the Government.

Perhaps this all sounds far-fetched. Especially, if, like me, you were bought up with the golden rule: if you've nothing to hide, you've nothing to worry about. But when your Greenpeace bumper sticker, or your church attendance or the size of your family become red flags that can trigger the opening of an FBI file in your name, you know things have changed.

And it's the little things that signal that change. Like the growing sense that it's not wise to express your concerns openly. Or when you pick up any suburban US newspaper and discover the two defining characteristics: the dearth of international coverage and the voluminous column space given to crime, all of it ugly, all of it adding to the climate of fear that increasingly pervades the country. In that masterfully created environment, US Justice Department official Corallo's comments sound not only imminently sensible, they sound like a lifesaver.

Unless of course you really do have something to hide; like your Greenpeace membership, your internet browsing and perhaps that book on activism you bought from Canada. That could just about be enough to get you killed. Only in America. Oh, and North Korea and Communist China and Stalinist Russia and Zimbabwe and Iraq, pre and post Saddam. - Source

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posted by Politica 4:04 AM

 
Al Gore Would Rather be Roger Ailes than President

This week, as NBC hammers out details on its proposed merger with Vivendi Universal Entertainment, former Vice President Al Gore is trying to finalize his own deal: the purchase of a Universal-owned digital news channel called Newsworld International, a transaction that could herald Mr. Gore’s official transformation from historical footnote to media player with the power to get in the game that he says has lately upset him so.

"He thinks the country is disserved by the absence of truth in news, by the absence of honesty in public-official presentation, by the apparently infinite cynicism of those who currently hold high office," said Reed Hundt, the former chairman of the F.C.C.—the Michael Powell of another political age—who saw through the Telecommunications Act of 1996, as well as a close friend of Mr. Gore’s. "These things disturb him, I know that. He’s made these points to me. I think Al, and to my knowledge dozens of other progressives, would like to go beyond complaining to actually trying to fix the problems."

If, as Mr. Gore told The Observer in December 2002, Fox News and right-wing talk radio have helped bolster the Bush administration’s message, then Mr. Gore’s buy would mark a further convergence of television and politics—the migration of power and influence to politicized media. In a cable-television world in which Fox News Channel, with its self-proclaimed corrective point of view, beats CNN’s self-proclaimed absence of point of view; in which programmers have to "narrowcast" to gain an audience; in which HBO’s K Street mixes up Howard Dean with Hollywood actors and has James Carville participate in a kind of Being John Malkovich version of being James Carville, in a reality-TV business in which all bets are off—being a media mogul may be a whole lot better than being President.

"In a world of highly concentrated media conglomerates," said Mr. Hundt, "the truth of the matter is, the personal tastes of a half-dozen people matter immensely. It’s not the case that people in the media poll their audience to see what flavors they would like. They hip-shoot on that topic, and their personal views have an impact."

Mr. Hundt suggested that the media coverage of everything from the war in Iraq to the California election had only firmed up Mr. Gore’s beliefs.

In September 2003, The Observer reported that Mr. Gore first met with Universal executives last summer to discuss buying Newsworld, or NWI, a channel that currently packages international news from places like Japan and Canada and can reach about 20 million homes. You can watch it here in New York on the Time Warner Cable system, channel 103.

With it, Mr. Gore is reportedly working on a youth-geared "public affairs" channel that would present news and documentaries—something that would sound a bit like Son of C-Span if it wasn’t being financed by the loyal opposition. One associate has suggested that Mr. Gore’s network would employ MTV-style programming, using cheap digital cameras and user-created content to allow regular people to get stuff off their chests—but that is pure speculation, and the fact is that the whole Gore TV agenda is still to be announced.

In explaining the power of media on public tastes, Mr. Hundt didn’t bring up News Corp. and Fox News Channel boss Rupert Murdoch. But as Mr. Gore said last year, he considers Fox part of a "fifth column" within the media, responsible for injecting "daily Republican talking points into the definition of what’s objective."

"There’s no question that Democrats are suffering in an environment where there are powerful outlets for anti-Democrat viewpoints," said Bob Somerby, editor of influential political Web site The Daily Howler. "It’s clear that people don’t watch PBS or C-Span, so commercially you’ve got to have some point of view. It doesn’t have to be a liberal-line point of view, but it does have to have some edge or attitude while you’re there. You turn on Fox first because you know something’s going to happen."

On Tuesday, Oct. 7, as Fox News celebrated its seven-year anniversary, Brit Hume, the channel’s managing editor and chief Washington, D.C., correspondent, wondered if Mr. Gore really knew what he was getting into.

"It’s a little unclear what he’s trying to do if he wants to start a kind of talk channel that he believes would counterprogram Fox," said Mr. Hume. "He clearly doesn’t know what we’re really doing. If he’s trying to start a serious news organization with worldwide reach, then he immediately becomes a competitor, in my view, to CNN and MSNBC, so he does us good. It doesn’t seem like it would affect us very much."

Mr. Hume wondered if Mr. Gore had really considered the basics—like cameras and mobile trucks. Watching a live feed of the California recall on Fox, Mr. Hume said, "If you were the Al Gore News Channel, you’re going to want that signal, too. You’re going to have to hire your own truck, get your own equipment—I wonder if they’ve even thought about those things."

If the channel is to succeed, said one cable-TV executive, the Gore group may itself have to do as Fox does by giving it the "Full Franken," larding its programming up with song-and-dance commentators like the author of Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them. Otherwise, it might not attract viewers. "Extremes are more interesting for neutrals to watch," said the executive, who didn’t have much optimism for Mr. Gore’s group, mainly because of Mr. Gore’s upmarket sensibilities. "Given who’s involved in it, they’re all way too classy," he said.

For his part, Mr. Franken—a friend of Mr. Gore’s, who defends him in his book—said he was busy developing a three-hour talk show for a proposed liberal radio network and probably wouldn’t have time to anchor a show for Mr. Gore. But he took issue with the idea that the left played to the same extremes as the right.

"I think, right now, there’s only one side that’s doing that, and that’s their side," Mr. Franken said. "When I’ve talked to [Mr. Gore], he’s been talking about a whole different thing than what they do. He’s been criticized for being Mr. Policy Wonk. He’s not a tabloid guy."

Based on his book sales and the crowds he was seeing on his book tour, Mr. Franken said there would be a market for Mr. Gore’s network, too. He said the left was alienated and was hungry for news, and its hunger, by its nature, was not for tarted-up opinion. "If they’re driving around in their car," he said, "they’re listening to NPR not because it’s left-wing information, but because it’s information. Conservatives want right-wing information; liberals want information. They need ammunition now, because they feel attacked. When I tell them about the liberal media network, they just cheer. Because they want to hear something."

And Mr. Hundt said, "We’re not trying to fight fire with fire; we’re trying to fight fire with cold water."

Whether or not Mr. Gore’s reading of the media landscape as a political foothold is fundamentally flawed depends on your reading of Fox’s success. Did Mr. Murdoch tap into a market of wildly underserved conservatives who yearned to see and hear their views expressed on TV? Or was it, as Mr. Gore has it, that Mr. Murdoch’s imported brand of loudmouthed, politically skewed programming bludgeoned the viewing public into submission with entertaining, right-leaning ideas? Or was it, as Mr. Hume would have it, that they simply had better news coverage?

At a special Senate hearing on F.C.C. deregulation earlier this year, Democratic Senator Byron Dorgan from North Dakota asked Mr. Murdoch if he could explain why the radio properties he owned had more than 300 hours of nationally syndicated conservative talk each week, against five hours of liberal talk.

Mr. Murdoch replied: "Yes. Apparently, conservative talk is more popular."

He’s just giving the people what they want.

The conventional wisdom has it that cable news could become like the tabloid press of the U.K., or Mr. Murdoch’s home of Australia, where eight or nine papers each spin the news based on their own political agendas. It’s a model that leaves it to the public to sort things out based on their own leanings—even if those leanings are, primarily, the desire to see an American flag waving on their TV screen or to be entertained by angry white guys yelling at you. That’s a great market. The current ratings doldrums at CNN, which is struggling to doll itself up while protesting that it intends to keep its old blue-chip objectivity, may be the clearest harbinger yet of Mr. Ailes’ acute instincts. If Ted Turner was still there, things might be different.

But he’s not.

While Fox News may be the most popular cable news channel, however, is it also therefore politically influential?

"If the ambition is political influence, it could not be more misplaced," said Lawrence O’Donnell Jr., the senior political analyst for MSNBC and former adviser to the late Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan. "If you add up everybody watching MSNBC, CNN and Fox on any given night, you’re dealing with a number that would get any number canceled in prime-time television. As soon as you understand it, you realize the utter meaninglessness on the political level of Al Gore’s network. Whether it gets started, it doesn’t matter. What matters is, does it make enough money or sustain a low-enough loss margin to employ the people and pay for the cameras?"

Mr. O’Donnell said that cable news barked at the converted and changed almost no one’s mind. And he pointed to The News Hour with Jim Lehrer as liberal TV news that already exists—with more viewers than Fox News, he noted. "I don’t think there’s a liberal in America who wouldn’t say The NewsHour with Jim Lehrer is an exemplary piece of television journalism," he said. "It’s there, but we steadfastly avoid it in a way that I think tells you the story about how much is available for some theoretically counterprogrammed Fox rival."

Even Mr. Gore’s friend Mr. Hundt said that the very nature of what makes cable TV popular was at odds with a thoughtful liberal message. Right-wing ideologues, he said, appeal to quick, emotional bullet points, which "creates in those individuals a frightening relationship to the public trust."

Mr. Hundt also said the public has shown surprising resistance to the media’s influence. "In the face of almost no media endorsement and precious little elected-official communications, somehow, according to today’s poll, 53 percent think the Iraq war was not worth it," he said. "How did that happen? It’s certainly not because editorial pages changed their opinion. Certainly not because the White House backed off. In fact, it’s the opposite: It has intensified its advocacy.

"Having said that," he added, "it’s still true that if you have a political agenda, you should buy a TV station."

Sir Howard Stringer, chairman and chief executive of Sony Corporation of America and the former president of CBS, said that audience size didn’t tell the story about TV’s influence. If, he said, what Mr. Gore called the right-wing media’s "echo chamber" affects the mainstream media via noisy accusations of liberal bias, then the ability to create its own echo is some form of influence.

"When it’s fragmented, as the media landscape is now, it’s possible to have a voice that is greater in effect than the size of the audience you generate," he said. "If you’re a reporter these days, or a Washington pundit or politician, you can get on all these cable news channels with fractional audiences and generate influence that seems to be beyond the scale of your audience to a laughable degree."

The prime example, he said, was Fox News’ Bill O’Reilly, who has achieved a fame that would seem to belie TV numbers that are dwarfed by network news. Mr. O’Reilly reaches two million a night on average, compared to seven and a half million for CBS’s Dan Rather. His latest book, Who’s Looking Out for You?, is the New York Times No. 1 best-seller. Even if book sales don’t match network-TV numbers, cable, books and print synergize into a whole that is greater than the sum of its parts, said Mr. Stringer. It wouldn’t matter if Mr. Gore’s network matched only the viewership of C-Span, he said, because it could still have an impact.

"Influence is influence," Mr. Stringer said. "It may be a small voice, but it’s more likely to be heard in this environment than ever. C-Span has an audience, too, you know. I was on C-Span, and I couldn’t believe the number of people who stopped me and said, ‘Hey, I saw you on C-Span.’ In a media society, any exposure is better than none."

But Mr. Gore has some huge hurdles before he can transmit a minute of television. The first one is a lot of money.

"It is estimated that there were losses amounting to a billion dollars before Fox News turned a profit," said Mr. Hume. "We’re talking about a grand-scale investment. If you start thinking what it could cost to start from complete scratch—with nothing to support you—we’re talking about a truly staggering sum of money, and the losses would have to be eaten along the way."

And, Mr. Hume added, it’s not clear that any amount of money will help Mr. Gore if his view of Fox News is so fundamentally flawed.

"If what he’s trying to provide is left-wing editorial, I’ll guarantee you this: It wouldn’t compete with us," he said. "It wouldn’t compete with anybody. It may be relevant to what they think we’re doing, but I doubt it’s relevant to what we’re truly doing."

For Mr. Stringer, all the cable-news noise is further evidence that the news center has not held. As the former head of CBS from 1988 to 1995, and a former head of CBS News, he said the shift from "objective" news to "balanced" news had been a slippery slope that pointed to the future of media, from which there was probably no return.

"I once argued with a former news president that ‘balance’ is a dangerous word, because you could run a story called Hitler: Right or Wrong?" he said. "The job is to go after the objective truth and come to a conclusion. The fragmented media has changed that—the nature of music, the nature of movies. We don’t sit around the hearth and share the same thoughts any more, so it’s a perfect world for this kind of environment. Is something lost? Yes, I think taking your facts as presented and coming to your own conclusions felt like a healthier environment, but it’s a thing of the past."

To Mr. Gore and his dream of starting his own TV news channel, Mr. Stringer had this to say: "You have nothing to lose but your loneliness." - Source

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Novak Revealed A Source in July of 2001: According to Novak, "Disclosing confidential sources is unthinkable for a reporter seeking to probe behind the scenes in official Washington, but the circumstances here are obviously extraordinary" - Circumstances Don't Get Much More 'Extraordinary' than those surrounding 'Plame-Gate', Bob! (10/10)

Terrorist Hopeful Pat Robertson Said Someone Should Blow Up the State Department with a Nuclear Bomb (10/10)

John Dean: "If Newsweek is correct that Karl Rove declared Valerie Plame Wilson "fair game," then he should make sure he's got a good criminal lawyer, for he may need one. I've only suggested the most obvious criminal statute that might come into play for those who exploit the leak of a CIA asset's identity. There are others." (10/10)

Bush Officials Bend Iraq Facts Till They Break (10/10)

Latecomer Clark has Unusual Strategy (10/10)

Krugman: "In the months after 9/11, a shocked nation wanted to believe the best of its leader, and Mr. Bush was treated with reverence. But he abused the trust placed in him, pushing a partisan agenda that has left the nation weakened and divided." (10/10)

Governor Schwarzenegger?: "He has no political experience, no policies and a cupboard full of skeletons. So what does the rise of the Terminator tell us about the state of American politics? And should we be worried?" (10/10)

White House Failed to Consult Rumsfeld on Shake-Up: "I'm really quite surprised by all the froo-frah about this memo," Rumsfeld Said. "It's a little, short, one-page memo." - Yeah, and One of Bush' Big Lie's was just "16 words" (10/09)

Don't Believe the Government's Line on 911? Check Out this Meticulously Footnoted Article and Prepare for Your Jaw to Drop (10/09)

US Patriot Act Looks Like Tentacles of Totalitarianism (10/09)

Al Gore Would Rather be Roger Ailes than President (10/09)

OUTRAGE: Cover-Up in Treasongate - "White House lawyers are screening documents submitted as possible evidence to determine who leaked an undercover CIA officer's identity, mindful that officials from the president on down have expressed doubt that the leaker will be found." (10/8)

PM Howard Censured by Senate Over Iraq Lies: What About Bush??? (10/8)

New Watergate Soaks Bush White House (10/8)

Vouchers Sure to Hurt Those Most in Need: The School-Voucher Crusade is a Fraud Founded on a Myth (10/8)

Right Wing Enraged by Bush Lies: Yes, Bush lied (10/8)

A Tribute to Weapons Inspectors: The UN Knew Full Well That No WMD Would be Found in Iraq (10/8)

Lies, Lies, Lies: Revelation Casts Doubt on Iraq find - "The test tube of botulinum presented by Washington and London as evidence that Saddam Hussein had been developing and concealing weapons of mass destruction, was found in an Iraqi scientist's home refrigerator, where it had been sitting for 10 years, it emerged yesterday." (10/7)

Bush Admits That the Outing of Plame is a Crime: "This is a serious charge, by the way. We're talking about a criminal action." (10/7)

Republicans Unsure of Bush's Chances for 2004 Election: "In a sharp reversal, Republicans who just months ago daydreamed about a 2004 election landslide now worry that President Bush is losing control of events at home and abroad and faces a real chance of leading the party to defeat." (10/7)

GOP Pollsters Insist Dean Can Beat Bush (10/7)

Right-Wing 'Scholar' Urges Rich Nations (i.e. The US) To Take Over 'Failed States' (i.e. Every Other Nation) to 'Lift the Curse of Natural Resources' (i.e. Pillage and Plunder) (10/7)

Lies, Lies, Lies: Cook Says Blair Accepted Before War That '45-minute' Claim was Bogus - Ex Minister's Diary May Prove to be the Final Nail in Blair's Political Coffin (10/6)

Schwarzenegger's Love Child Scandal (10/6)

McClintock Calls on Schwarzenegger to Resign If Charges Prove True (10/6)

Davis Calls for Criminal Investigation into Schwarzenegger's Alleged 'Sexual Battery' (10/6)

Gore Knows Where the Political Battles are Won: Eyes CBC-Launched Cable Company (10/6)

Mice To Test Bush's Food For Poison (10/6)

Lies. Lies, Lies!!!!!: Newsweek to Reveal Details That Undercut the White House Line on the 'Plame-Gate' Leak (10/5)

Thirty-Four Pages of Internal Enron Memoranda Detail Tryst Between Schwarzenegger, Ken Lay and Michael Milken: It Turns Out That Schwarzenegger Knowingly Joined the Hush-Hush Encounter as Part of a Campaign to Sabotage a Davis-Bustamante Plan to Make Enron and Other Power Pirates Then Ravaging California Pay Back the $9 Billion in Illicit Profits They Stole from its Citizens (10/5)

Lies, Lies, Lies: Bush Promised That the Cost of Rebuilding Iraq Would be Paid for by Iraq's Own Oil Revenues. Billions of Taxpayer Dollars Later We Find Out That the Administration's Assertions Were at Odds with a Much Bleaker Assessment of a Government Task Force Secretly Established Last Fall to Study Iraq's Oil Industry (10/5)

Lies, Lies, Lies: Cook Says, 'Blair admitted to me that Saddam had no usable WMD' (10/5)

Real US Unemployment Rate is 9.7%: "Many of the people who do have jobs are working only part-time. According to the Labor Department, if you add all the workers "marginally attached" to the labor force -- out of work and not looking for work -- to all those working part-time and those unemployed and looking for work." (10/5)

Wesley Clark Called for an Independent Probe of the Bush Administration's Use of Intelligence Before the Iraq War, Calling it "Twisted" and Possibly Criminal (10/4)

Suspicion Centers on Lewis Libby: "Dick Cheney's Chief of Staff helped hype the Iraq threat and discredit Joe Wilson. But while the White House has denied Karl Rove is the leaker, so far it's left Libby twisting slowly in the wind." (10/4)

Lies, Lies, Lies: David Kay Claims About Iraq Nukes Lack Evidence - "An expert close to the U.N. nuclear watchdog Friday cast doubt on new U.S. claims that Saddam Hussein's Iraq had been planning to revive its atomic weapons program until the U.S. invasion in March." (10/4)

Lies, Lies, Lies: David Kay's Bacteria in Iraq Means Nothing (10/4)

Debunking Right Wing Spin: Four Separate Ex-CIA Employees are Now on the Record Saying Plame was Undercover and Ran a Network of Informants, and a Fifth who Knew Wilson and had 24 Years at the Agency Says He Didn't Know Plame Worked There ?— Which Means Her Status was Hardly Common Knowledge. (10/4)

Bush Expresses Support for Limbaugh: "Rush is a great American." (10/4)

Bush's 'Great American' is a Total Racist: What does That Tell You About Bush? (10/4)

Bush Projected That His Tax Cut Package, Which Took Effect in July 2003 and was Titled the ?“Jobs and Growth Plan?”, would Create Would Raise the Level of Growth Enough to Create 344,000 New Jobs Each Month: So Far Reality Lags Bush Promises by 672,000 Jobs (10/4)

John Dean Says Plame and Wilson Should Sue the Bush Administration (10/4)

Study: Wrong Impressions Promoted by fox News Helped Support Iraq War: "...it does appear likely that support for the war would be substantially lower if fewer members of the public had these misperceptions." (10/4)

Rush's Drug Abuse Probably Caused His Deafness (10/4)

Cheney Chief-of-Staff, Lewis 'Scooter' Libby Named as Plame-Gate Leaker: Cheney Can't be Far Behind (10/3)

Schwarzenegger: "I Admired Hitler" (10/3)

Confidence in Bush Slipping: Foreign Policy Hits New Lows (44% Approval), Half of Americans (50%) Don't Have Confidence in His Ability to Handle an International Crisis, and a Majority (53%) Now Believes the War in Iraq Wasn't Worth it (10/3)

Perfect Example of the Dangers of Media Deregulation: American Media, Owner of Virtually Every Major Tabloid in the US Promised Joe Weider (Arnold's Maker) That They Would 'Lay Off' the Groper After Executing with Weider a $350 million Business Deal (10/3)

Krugman: 'Slime and Defend' (10/3)



* * * * *

PS.org Articles

Japan Prepares for Preemptive Strikes Against North Korea (05/24/03)

'Mini Nukes' and the Proliferation of Bush (05/22/03)

Missile Shield for Every Nation (05/21/03)

And Whitman Makes Twelve (05/21/03)

Special Interests Defeat Dying Nations (05/20/03)

Ari Fleischer: 11th High Profile Admin Member to Step Down in Year and a Half (05/19/03)

Criminal GOP Hits a Homerun (05/18/03)

Where's the Freedom? (05/17/03)

Morality in America: What About Bush? (05/16/03)

Bush: Stimulates Cronies While Screwing the Public (05/15/03)

Bill Bennett and the Seven Deadly Sins (05/13/03)

Bush Breaks the (spirit of the) Law (05/08/03)

Why are They Still Here? 14 Dead, No WMD (04/30/03)

50 Steps to Armageddon: How Bush Brought Us to the Brink With North Korea (updated 04/25/03)

North Korea: War at any moment (04/24/03)

More Foreign Policy Bumbling (04/23/03)

Clever Bastards! (04/22/03)

"Coalition" Abandons Bush. Now What? (04/18/03)

Bechtel: Has Halliburton Met its Match? (04/17/03)

Going for the Easy Kill (04/16/03)

Syria: Key to Israeli-Palestinian Peace? (04/15/03)

Lessons From War Games (04/14/03)

Reign of the Executioners (04/12/03)

Syria and Iran: Prepare for Invasion - A Reference for Seekers of Truth (04/10/03)

CNN Refuses to do Its Job (04/08/03)

People Hate Bush Three Times as Much as They Hate Clinton (04/07/03)

CNN Scrubs Earth-Shaking Republican Admission (04/07/03)

It was Never About Finding WMD (04/07/03)

"America - Love it or leave it!": New Slogan of the Free Speech Movement (04/03/03)

Lies, Lies and More Lies: Marketplace Deaths Were Caused by a US Missile (04/02/03)

Death is Death: Terrorism vs. Military Strikes (04/02/03)

Rumsfeld Lies About Syria: Setup for Operation "Syria Freedom"? (03/31/03)

Public Enemy Number One: "Free Speech" Terrorists (03/31/03)

Perle Gets Whacked Due to Gross Lack of Ethics (03/28/03)

Crushing Dissent in the Era of Bush (03/27/03)

Colin Powell Threatens Belgium (03/26/03)

Complications in a Modern Invasion (03/25/03)

What Are the Chances That We Find WMD in the Soon-to-Be Occupied Iraq? (03/24/03)

CWC VII - GOP Celebrates Murder (03/19/03)

Strategy Behind the Resolution Withdrawal (03/18/03)

Ulterior Motives Dominate European Leaders' Alignment with Bush (03/17/03)

Buying UN Security Council Votes and a Political Mandate (03/13/03)

I Would Never Say "Richard Perle is a Terrorist!" (03/12/03)

Are the Bush-Iraq Lies Getting Through? (03/11/03)

Top 30 Bush - Iraq Lies: A Reference For Seekers of Truth (03/10/03)

CWC VI - War for Oil and Nothing Else (03/08//03)

BEWARE: Bush Crusade 03-03-03 (02/28/03)

Bush, Peace and B.E.T. (02/27/03)

Mr. Bush, You're Under Arrest (02/25/03)

I Have Seen the Light and His Name is Howard Dean (02/24/03)

Bush Leads America Down Path to Extinction (02/23/03)

Bush Undermines UN Inspectors (02/22/03)

CWC V - Iraq is Clintons Fault (02/19/03)

Defending Clinton, Prosecuting Hatch (02/17/03)

Refuting a Myth About US Military Spending (02/13/03)

The First Attack Made Bush. Would a Second Attack Unmake Him?
(02/12/03)

Tokenism, It's Not Just For Breakfast Anymore (02/10/03)

North Korea Threatens US: Arguing Against the First-Strike Precedent (02/06/03)

It's the Credibility, Stupid (02/05/03)

Bush, Iraq, al Qaeda and the Art of Lying (02/04/03)

If Blix n' Bush Were Under Oath (02/03/03)

Hypocrisy: A Proud GOP Tradition (02/02/03)

Don't Believe the Hype! Europe Rejects Bush! (01/30/03)

CWC IV - Bigotry Revealed (01/29/03)

Iraq, Guilty Until Proven Innocent (01/28/03)

CWC III - War for Oil (01/25/03)

Seeds of Destruction: What Keeps Bush From Planting Evidence of WMD in Iraq? (01/24/03)

Roll Call: Where has the Administration Gone? (01/23/03)

CWC II - Ulterior Motives (01/22/03)

Civil Rights Records Spotlight the Stealth Bigots (01/21/03)

CWC I - It Served Our Interests (01/17/03)

WANTED as "Enemy Combatants": Weinberger, Abrams and McFarlane (01/15/03)

A Parable of Taxation and Propaganda (01/14/03)

John Edwards: Clinton II ??? (01/10/03)

A Racist Bush (01/10/03)

Building a Progressive Media (01/02/03)

Eliminating Lott (12/09/02)

Energy Policy (12/09/02)

Abolish the Electoral College (12/09/02)


* * * * *

Recent Tactics

Conduct Questionable Behavior in the Name of the US and Label Those Who Criticize that Behavior as Un-American (04/29/03)

Downplay Your Opponent's Rhetoric (04/15/03)

Be Aggressive (02/26/03)

Use Keywords (02/20/03)

Support the Opposition Underdog (02/18/03)

Radical Policy in Baby Steps (02/11/03)

Be Bold (02/08/03)

Choose Spokesperson from Your Weakest Demographic (01/18/03)

Vote Along Party Lines (01/13/03)

* * * * *






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